Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Ideology and the Real World

If someone claimed that the best way to launch a rocket was to ignore the laws of gravity, chemistry, physics and propulsion, and instead do whatever seemed expedient to you at the time, the first act of that person's boss would be to fire that person and bar him from the building, for fear that he would destroy lives and property if kept on. 

If a police officer claimed that the best way to handle an emergency situation was to ignore the surroundings and his training, and rush in heedless of the danger to his own life and person, this police officer would promptly be barred from the police force, for fear that he would kill himself, any unfortunate individuals working with him, and indeed the very people he was trying to save.

So why is it that the favorite call of the Left when it comes to political policy is to ignore questions of human nature, the historical record, and economic theory and instead rush into the situation heedless of the facts to do whatever you think is expedient at the moment?

I have to ask, because for years I have been hearing the admonishment to ignore ideology in favor of "the real world," as though those who ignore ideology are actually helping people in some way.  But before we can assume ideology is ipso facto bad, first we have to know: What is ideology?  What is it for?  And why do we persist in forming one, even when everyone and their cousin seems hell-bent on convincing us that doing so is such an awful idea?

Ideology is at root, the act of observing the world and forming conclusions about it.  It's purpose is to help us explain what happens in the world, make sense of it, and then use that understanding to guide our future course of action.  And the reason we try to formulate one is that we literally can not do otherwise.  Human beings live and act, and thus need some sort of guide with which to decide their course of action.  Not having any sort of ideology at all simply is not an option.

In the scientific world, this ideology is known as scientific theory, and the method by which it is developed is known as the scientific method.  A "guess" is made about reality (otherwise known as a hypothesis), the guesser uses logic to predict how reality would behave if his guess is true, the guess is then tested against the facts, and the guess is altered based on how what the guesser thinks should have happened compares against what actually happened.  Emotions do not come into it and the objective nature of reality is not questioned.  If your theory does not conform to reality, you do not get to claim that you are being sabotoged by a mysterious power.  If your results are not replicable, nobody assumes that it is because your guess is true for you, but not for them.  If your guess does not work, you do not get a free pass based on your name, position, color or creed.  Your guess is simply deemed wrong, and if you persist in pushing forward your guess, you are eventually barred from rational scientific discussion lest your false guesses precipiate some sort of technological disaster.

In the world of recuse work and handling emergencies, the rescue worker is strictly trained to put his emotions aside and focus on the facts.  A nurse in a crowded emergency ward practices strict triage based on who is in the ward, how immediate that person's need for medical attention is, and the resources of the hospital.  Her heart may twist at the idea of forcing a child to suffer pain for hours while the doctor takes care of more pressing needs, but her emotions are irrelevant to the true problem she must solve: the one of saving as many lives as possible.  She does not get to ignore the practices that were painstakingly developed over long theorization and experimentation because she feels awful about something those procedures might force her to do.  And if that is something the nurse cannot handle, she is eventually let go lest her compassion ends up killing people.

However, all of the rules we have sensibly developed for things like science and rescue work seem to fall apart when it comes to questions of economic and political policy.  Continually we are asked to do more to fight poverty, to fight obesity, to fight rising prices that crowd out the poor from receiving essential services.  We complain that the free market is forcing prices up in medicine, and ignore the fact that half of all health care money is in fact spent by government in the form of medicare and medicaid.  We complain that tuition costs are skyrocketing, and ignore the fact that prices could never have gone as high as they have without government subsidization of increased demand in the form of government-backed college loans.  We bemoan the fall of the housing market which forced so many poor to foreclose on their homes, while ignoring the fact that the reason the housing market spiraled so high in the first place was because of government action in the form of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and an artificially low federal funds rate. 

If we had studied the laws of economics, we could have known before we began that low interest rates and government subsides would artifically increase demand and create a housing bubble.  If we had acknowledged the reality of human nature, we would have known that subsidizing bad behavior would increase the incentives for people to behave badly.  If we had studied history, we would know that some of the worst atrocities in human history were performed by those who proclaimed their goal to be the betterment of mankind.  But we do not do these things, because for some reason we persist in believing that there is no rational explanation for human actions and that virtue in the economic and political realm consists of never trying to find one.

I have a political and economic ideology not in spite of the need to act in the real world, but because of it.  Our goal should not be to refuse to formulate an ideology, nor to determine when to ignore that ideology based on the suffering of the moment.  Rather, our goal should be on making sure that our ideology accurately predicts the real world and strictly following it in order to try and ensure the best possible outcomes for all.

P.S.  Watch the link.  It is a clip of Richard Feynman talking about the scientific method, and it is quite fun.

4 comments:

  1. Since this post seems to have come out of a comment on facebook, I’d like to clarify some things without getting into a shouting match or treating each other disrespectfully, if that’s ok with you.

    First off, I agree with much of what you say here. Ideology is a framework for how to interpret things that happen in the world, which is necessary for humans. As you point out, the problem isn’t that we have an ideology. The problem is when we choose an ideology over observable facts.

    For instance, one ideology is that the Bible is literally true or is the literal word of God. When the Bible goes against scientific fact and theory, (the universe does not revolve around the earth, the earth is more than 6,000 years old, evolution), ideology then wins over observable fact, and that’s problematic.

    But physical data is easy. Economics and politics is hard, because it’s very hard to have control economies and societies. Ideologies play a larger part, because it is easier to pick and choose ones “facts” to fit one’s ideology.

    So we differ on the left and right with the data we pick and choose to support our ideology. For many on the left, the ideology is that capitalism is evil. So they look for instances where companies acted in bad faith to suffering of many (of which there are many and varied examples). Many on the right believe the government is evil. So they look for examples where government has acted in bad faith (of which there are many and varied examples).

    So, it’s not enough to simply find an example where a corporation did a bad thing or a government policy had some unintended side effect. If we claim to care about science and data, we have to consider everything, and the data is often conflicting and insufficient. Hence, the need for ideology to fill in the gaps. However, we need to be careful not to simply ignore relevant data or focus only on the data that fits our ideology.

    (continued...)

    ReplyDelete
  2. (...continued)
    For example, if we say the cause of the banking crisis was the Community Reinvestment Act of 1977 (which encouraged banks to loan to minorities within sound business practices), we have to wonder why that caused a problem in 2008. We have to ignore the data that banks covered by the CRA were much less likely than other banks to make the kind of risky, high-cost, high-profit loans than fueled the foreclosure crisis. We have to ignore the fact that bad loans were bundled up and sold as good investment vehicles, and wonder why no laws were broken when bankers did this. I think most people would agree that the banking crisis was the result of greed on everyone’s parts – bankers who could make a lot of money on subprime loans, people in all income groups getting loans they couldn’t afford for houses they couldn’t keep, government not paying attention to what is going on with regulations that would have prevented it, lack of oversight on whether loan applications were even true. Saying the CRA caused the banking crisis is a talking point more than an argument – it is the ideology that “government is bad” and “the market is always right.” But it isn’t science or truth.

    Also, I would like to point out that “Acknowledging the reality of human nature” (as you say) is something liberals certainly do. Liberals see human nature this way: if there are no laws preventing people from dumping toxic waste into streams or into the air, they will do it to make a profit. If there is no one watching bankers bundle bad loans and selling them as good investments, it will happen. Liberals believe in regulation precisely because regular people do bad things to others if there is profit in it. Sure, sometimes regulations overreach and there are unintended side-effects. But the truth is, we would not have safe food, drinkable water, breathable air, humane working conditions or safe roads were it not for those pesky do-gooders looking out for the common good. Capitalism may be the most efficient economic system we have, but it doesn’t work unless there is a strong government making sure that the worst excesses of profit-over-public-good is checked.

    I hope you are not offended by anything I've said. If so, let me know so we can work it.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I am not offended, and thus will let this stand. However, I have already stated that I will not discuss politics with you, and in my experience, blanket bans do not work unless one actually adheres to them. So I hope you do not assume that I have no arguments to counter yours, simply because I do not choose to reply.

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete